Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000043 0.000047 0.000052 0.000056 0.000062 0.000068 0.000074
2025-11-23 0.000039 0.000044 0.000050 0.000058 0.000066 0.000076 0.000089
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000057 0.000068 0.000081 0.000098
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000054 0.000067 0.000082 0.000102
2025-12-14 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000082 0.000105
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000032 0.000040 0.000050 0.000064 0.000083 0.000109
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000063 0.000082 0.000111
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000061 0.000082 0.000113
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000084 0.000118
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000047 0.000064 0.000089 0.000129
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000030 0.000040 0.000056 0.000079 0.000113 0.000168
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000077 0.000111 0.000169
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000051 0.000075 0.000112 0.000174
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000036 0.000052 0.000078 0.000119 0.000190
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000052 0.000079 0.000122 0.000201
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000049 0.000076 0.000121 0.000203
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000021 0.000031 0.000047 0.000074 0.000119 0.000205
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000046 0.000073 0.000119 0.000208
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000044 0.000071 0.000117 0.000209
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000069 0.000115 0.000209
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000218
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000042 0.000072 0.000125 0.000238
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000050 0.000088 0.000159 0.000318